Cup — Poland
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Stadion Poznan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.37) 0.84 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 32.0% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 15.5% 13.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech PoznanGornik Zabrze
Played23
Form100%100%
Attack22%44%
Defense94%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 28 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played022033
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Lech Poznan: WW • Gornik Zabrze: WWW

League goals

Metric Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total044088
GF avg0.02.02.00.02.72.7
GA total011022
GA avg0.00.50.50.00.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech PoznanGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%67%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.50%0%67%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech PoznanGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLech PoznanGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLech PoznanGornik Zabrze
Wins23
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—0-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For0203
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricLech PoznanGornik Zabrze
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total55.6%44.4%

Advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ SBO
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away3.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.13 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznan = 1.02 (league 1.37), Gornik Zabrze = 0.84 (league 1.60)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 15.5% 13.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1