Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 11:00 •
Chang Arena
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.63)
0.84 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.1% | 21.6% | 15.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Chiangrai United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buriram United | 0 | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Buriram United | Chiangrai United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 86% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Buriram United | Chiangrai United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 88% | 78% | 82% | 50% | 13% | 31% |
| Draws | 13% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 75% | 44% |
| Loses | 0% | 11% | 6% | 38% | 13% | 25% |
Form: Buriram United: WWWWWWDWWLWWWWWDW • Chiangrai United: DWLDWDLDWWDLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Buriram United | Chiangrai United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 21 | 40 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Buriram United | Chiangrai United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 65% | 88% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 76% | 18% | 31% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Buriram United | Chiangrai United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Buriram United | Chiangrai United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Buriram United | Chiangrai United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-2 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Buriram United | Chiangrai United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 72.4% | 27.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Buriram United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Buriram United = 1.91 (league 1.63), Chiangrai United = 0.84 (league 1.23)
| Chiangrai United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buriram United | 0 | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 15.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1