Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 11:00 •
Leo Chiangrai Stadium
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.63)
1.77 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 23.0% | 59.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ratchaburi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chiangrai United | 0 | 7.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Ratchaburi carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 87 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Chiangrai United -12.0, Ratchaburi +39.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Chiangrai United
vs
Ratchaburi
Elo gapRatchaburi +87
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo3151.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3151.7
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1515 | 1636.7 |
| Form Elo | 1512.7 | 1652.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.1 | 1576.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1521 | 1776 |
| Defense Elo | 1523.4 | 1612.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.0 | +39.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Chiangrai United last-5 Elo change: -12.0; Ratchaburi last-5 Elo change: +39.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 55% | 100% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 14% | 26% | 50% | 69% | 59% |
| Draws | 23% | 64% | 44% | 29% | 8% | 19% |
| Loses | 38% | 21% | 30% | 21% | 23% | 22% |
Chiangrai UnitedDWLDWDLDWWDLDDWLLDDDLWDLLDW
RatchaburiDWWWWLLWWWDLWWLWWLWDWLDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 21 | 27 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 24 | 37 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 78% | 85% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 30% | 48% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 11% | 30% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 8-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.55 @ 1xBet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away2.07 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ Betano
Under 2.52.01 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…