Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 11:00 • Chang Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.58) 0.84 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 14.6% 9.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
3 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chonburi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 8.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuriram UnitedChonburi FC
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%67%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buriram United Chonburi FC
HATHAT
Played111122111223
Wins82%82%82%27%33%30%
Draws9%9%9%36%25%30%
Loses9%9%9%36%42%39%

Form: Buriram United: WWWWWWDWWLWWWWWDWWLWWW • Chonburi FC: DLDLLDDDWLWLLWDLWLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Buriram United Chonburi FC
HATHAT
GF total332760131528
GF avg3.02.52.71.21.31.2
GA total91120131730
GA avg0.81.00.91.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuriram UnitedChonburi FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%64%65%91%
1.577%18%30%35%
2.541%5%22%4%
3.523%5%4%0%
4.518%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuriram UnitedChonburi FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets448112
Failed to score101358

Penalties

MetricBuriram UnitedChonburi FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricBuriram UnitedChonburi FC
Wins61
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-54-21-3
Biggest losses0-24-21-23-0
Goals For8543
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricBuriram UnitedChonburi FC
Form55%45%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Buriram United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw6.26 @ Pinnacle
Away9.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buriram United = 2.67 (league 1.58), Chonburi FC = 0.84 (league 1.23)

Chonburi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 8.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 9.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1