Thai League 1 — Thailand
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 12:00 • Thalay Luang Stadium
Not Started

Sukhothai FC

—

Ratchaburi

Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.65) 1.42 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 27.0% 47.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ratchaburi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sukhothai FC 0 9.4% 13.3% 9.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4%
1 8.9% 12.6% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.2% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Ratchaburi carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 144 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sukhothai FC -7.7, Ratchaburi +18.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Sukhothai FC Elo 1450.9 · -7.7
vs
Ratchaburi Elo 1629.5 · +18.0
Elo gapRatchaburi +144
Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%
Expected home share30%
Combined Elo3080.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3080.4
Elo home share 30%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Sukhothai FC Ratchaburi
Overall Elo1450.91629.5
Form Elo1439.81642.5
Home / Away Elo1504.61569.7
Attack Elo1419.61776
Defense Elo1452.61612.2
Last 5 Elo change-7.7+18.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sukhothai FC last-5 Elo change: -7.7; Ratchaburi last-5 Elo change: +18.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSukhothai FCRatchaburi
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack20%73%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sukhothai FC Ratchaburi
HATHAT
Played131427141226
Wins38%0%19%50%67%58%
Draws46%29%37%29%8%19%
Loses15%71%44%21%25%23%
Sukhothai FCLWDLDDDWLDWDLWLLDLDDLLWLLLD
RatchaburiDWWWWLLWWWDLWWLWWLWDWLDDWW

League goals

Metric Sukhothai FC Ratchaburi
HATHAT
GF total15419212546
GF avg1.20.30.71.52.11.8
GA total112839121527
GA avg0.82.01.40.91.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSukhothai FCRatchaburi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%85%85%69%
1.515%30%46%35%
2.54%11%31%0%
3.50%7%12%0%
4.50%7%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSukhothai FCRatchaburi
HATHAT
Clean sheets314628
Failed to score31013224

Penalties

MetricSukhothai FCRatchaburi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricSukhothai FCRatchaburi
Wins14
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—5-01-4
Biggest losses1-26-01-22-0
Goals For3154
Goals Against2622

Model comparison

MetricSukhothai FCRatchaburi
Form33%67%
Att21%79%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total40.0%60.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.01 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Sukhothai FC vs Ratchaburi