Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.65)
1.21 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.3% | 25.8% | 31.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Port FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Uthai Thani | 0 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Port FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 131 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Uthai Thani -9.5, Port FC +24.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Uthai Thani
vs
Port FC
Elo gapPort FC +131
Home / draw / away26% / 18% / 56%
Expected home share32%
Combined Elo3179.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3179.2
Elo home share
32%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1506.4 | 1672.8 |
| Form Elo | 1509.2 | 1688.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1518.4 | 1550.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1543.4 | 1828.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1561 | 1668.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -9.5 | +24.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Uthai Thani last-5 Elo change: -9.5; Port FC last-5 Elo change: +24.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 33% | 60% |
| Defense | 67% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 15% | 27% | 71% | 38% | 56% |
| Draws | 31% | 38% | 35% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
| Loses | 31% | 46% | 38% | 0% | 46% | 22% |
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Port FCWLDLWLWWWWDDWWLWLWLWWDWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 16 | 51 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 24 | 39 | 5 | 16 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Uthai Thani | Port FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 81% | 74% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 31% | 56% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 23% | 30% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 12% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 1-2 | 8-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-1 | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Uthai Thani | Port FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.33 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away1.88 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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