Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Bellinzona
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.50) 1.39 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.3% 26.3% 41.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Étoile Carouge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bellinzona 0 7.5% 10.4% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.0% 12.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack45%64%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bellinzona Étoile Carouge
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins25%0%12%23%17%20%
Draws17%31%24%31%25%28%
Loses58%69%64%46%58%52%

Form: Bellinzona: LDLLDLDDLLLLWLLWLLLWDLLLD • Étoile Carouge: LDLLDLWLWLLWDLLDLLDWDLDWL

League goals

Metric Bellinzona Étoile Carouge
HATHAT
GF total14923131225
GF avg1.20.70.91.01.01.0
GA total222648211839
GA avg1.82.01.91.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%84%64%80%
1.520%56%28%56%
2.512%28%8%20%
3.58%12%0%0%
4.58%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score7714459

Penalties

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Wins11
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-00-3
Biggest losses1-56-00-33-1
Goals For5323
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Form29%71%
Att42%58%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h15%85%
Goals13%88%
Total32.0%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Étoile Carouge

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away2.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.16 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bellinzona = 1.20 (league 1.50), Étoile Carouge = 1.39 (league 1.29)

Étoile Carouge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bellinzona 0 7.5% 10.4% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.0% 12.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 41.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1