Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 18:15 •
Colovray Sports Centre
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.59)
1.70 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4% | 24.0% | 53.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Vaduz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 6.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
FC Vaduz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 185 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stade Nyonnais -23.3, FC Vaduz +14.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Stade Nyonnais
vs
FC Vaduz
Elo gapFC Vaduz +185
Home / draw / away21% / 18% / 61%
Expected home share26%
Combined Elo3114.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3114.6
Elo home share
26%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1447.3 | 1667.3 |
| Form Elo | 1432.1 | 1673.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1487.1 | 1553.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1413.8 | 1737.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1477.8 | 1613.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.3 | +14.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Stade Nyonnais last-5 Elo change: -23.3; FC Vaduz last-5 Elo change: +14.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 25% | 69% |
| Defense | 19% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 27% | 6% | 16% | 94% | 47% | 71% |
| Draws | 47% | 38% | 42% | 6% | 27% | 16% |
| Loses | 27% | 56% | 42% | 0% | 27% | 13% |
Stade NyonnaisDWLLDWLLWLDDDWLLLDDDDLDLDDWDLLL
FC VaduzWDWWDWLDWWWWWWWWWWWLDWWWDLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 8 | 29 | 41 | 23 | 64 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 22 | 24 | 46 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 81% | 90% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 32% | 61% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 19% | 39% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 6-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stade Nyonnais | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 29.7% | 70.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.33 @ Betfair
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away1.74 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.35 @ Unibet
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League standings
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