Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 2.19)
0.73 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3% | 19.0% | 11.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| SSU Poli Timişoara W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Farul Constanţa W | 0 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Farul Constanţa W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 153 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Farul Constanţa W +12.1, SSU Poli Timişoara W -9.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Farul Constanţa W
vs
SSU Poli Timişoara W
Elo gapFarul Constanţa W +153
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo3100.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3100.2
Elo home share
71%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1609.2 | 1491 |
| Form Elo | 1635.5 | 1477 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1535.2 | 1498.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1698.6 | 1519.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1598.2 | 1493.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.1 | -9.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Farul Constanţa W last-5 Elo change: +12.1; SSU Poli Timişoara W last-5 Elo change: -9.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 62% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 80% | 50% | 65% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 10% | 40% | 25% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 50% | 30% |
Farul Constanţa WDWWWLWWDWWWWWWWDDDLW
SSU Poli Timişoara WDWDWWWWLDLWLWWLWWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 17 | 50 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 65% | 90% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 10% | 45% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 0% | 25% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 0% | 15% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 0-4 | 4-2 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Farul Constanţa W | SSU Poli Timişoara W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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