Azadegan League
— Iran
Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 10:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 0.98)
0.35 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.2% | 32.3% | 11.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.6%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Naft Gachsaran | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ario Eslamshahr | 0 | 22.3% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.6% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 0% | 24% | 50% | 0% | 24% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 41% | 25% | 44% | 35% |
| Loses | 22% | 50% | 35% | 25% | 56% | 41% |
Form: Ario Eslamshahr: DWLDDLDDWLWDLDWLL • Naft Gachsaran: DDWDLLLDWLWLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 35% | 59% | 59% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 6% | 12% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Naft Gachsaran |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ario Eslamshahr or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.65 @ Dafabet
Draw2.70 @ Dafabet
Away3.05 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.42 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.23 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.60 @ Marathonbet
No1.40 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ario Eslamshahr = 1.15 (league 0.98), Naft Gachsaran = 0.35 (league 0.68)
| Naft Gachsaran | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ario Eslamshahr | 0 | 22.3% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.6% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 11.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
