Stars League — Qatar
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 14:30 • Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.63) 3.57 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.0% 8.0% 72.7%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.2%
0 - 4
9.1%
0 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Al Shamal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli Doha 0 1.3% 4.8% 8.6% 10.2% 9.1% 6.5%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 4.8%
2 0.4% 1.3% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 1.8%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl Shamal
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack32%58%
Defense47%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahli Doha Al Shamal
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins20%50%36%57%50%55%
Draws0%0%0%29%25%27%
Loses80%50%64%14%25%18%

Form: Al Ahli Doha: LLLWLWLWLWL • Al Shamal: WWWWDDLWDWL

League goals

Metric Al Ahli Doha Al Shamal
HATHAT
GF total671315823
GF avg1.21.21.22.12.02.1
GA total149239413
GA avg2.81.52.11.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl Ahli DohaAl Shamal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%100%73%64%
1.536%73%64%45%
2.518%36%36%9%
3.59%0%27%0%
4.59%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl Shamal
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score336213

Penalties

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl Shamal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl Shamal
Wins14
Draws02
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-32-34-00-5
Biggest losses0-32-00-32-0
Goals For5345
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl Shamal
Form46%54%
Att35%65%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Winner : Al Shamal

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli Doha = 0.74 (league 1.63), Al Shamal = 3.57 (league 1.57)

Al Shamal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli Doha 0 1.3% 4.8% 8.6% 10.2% 9.1% 6.5%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 4.8%
2 0.4% 1.3% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 1.8%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.0% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 72.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1