Stars League — Qatar
Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 16:30 • Grand Hamad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.62) 2.14 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 20.4% 42.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Arabi SC 0 1.8% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
1 3.3% 7.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-Arabi SCAl-Gharafa
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack79%64%
Defense79%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Arabi SC Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%100%50%75%
Draws33%0%17%0%17%8%
Loses17%50%33%0%33%17%

Form: Al-Arabi SC: DLWLLLWWWWDW • Al-Gharafa: WWLWDWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Al-Arabi SC Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
GF total11122314923
GF avg1.82.01.92.31.51.9
GA total14112551015
GA avg2.31.82.10.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-Arabi SCAl-Gharafa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%75%75%75%
1.558%58%67%42%
2.525%25%42%8%
3.58%17%8%0%
4.58%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-Arabi SCAl-Gharafa
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricAl-Arabi SCAl-Gharafa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAl-Arabi SCAl-Gharafa
Wins45
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-54-21-3
Biggest losses1-84-0—3-0
Goals For3543
Goals Against8423

Model comparison

MetricAl-Arabi SCAl-Gharafa
Form52%48%
Att55%45%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Gharafa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No3.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Arabi SC = 1.89 (league 1.62), Al-Gharafa = 2.14 (league 1.61)

Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Arabi SC 0 1.8% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
1 3.3% 7.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 42.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1