Stars League — Qatar
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 16:30 • Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.63) 1.07 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 21.9% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Al Ahli Doha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Sadd 0 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.3% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack100%69%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)22 | 4.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Sadd Al Ahli Doha
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins43%80%58%33%50%42%
Draws29%0%17%0%0%0%
Loses29%20%25%67%50%58%

Form: Al Sadd: LWWLDDLWWWWW • Al Ahli Doha: LLLWLWLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Al Sadd Al Ahli Doha
HATHAT
GF total15163110717
GF avg2.13.22.61.71.21.4
GA total1061616925
GA avg1.41.21.32.71.52.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%50%100%
1.575%42%42%75%
2.542%25%25%33%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.517%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score112336

Penalties

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Wins21
Draws20
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-13-85-32-3
Biggest losses1-31-00-32-0
Goals For5853
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Form63%38%
Att71%29%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h85%15%
Goals78%22%
Total69.7%30.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Al Sadd and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ Betano
Draw5.60 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Sadd = 1.93 (league 1.63), Al Ahli Doha = 1.07 (league 1.58)

Al Ahli Doha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Sadd 0 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.3% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 4 , vtd1