Stars League — Qatar
Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 18:30 • Thani bin Jassim Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.65) 1.68 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 21.1% 30.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Rayyan SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.5% 5.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack35%53%
Defense53%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Rayyan SC
HATHAT
Played881661016
Wins75%50%63%50%50%50%
Draws0%13%6%17%30%25%
Loses25%38%31%33%20%25%

Form: Al-Gharafa: WWLWDWWWWWLWWLLL • Al-Rayyan SC: WLWDWLWLWWDWLDDW

League goals

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Rayyan SC
HATHAT
GF total15112692433
GF avg1.91.41.61.52.42.1
GA total9122171825
GA avg1.11.51.31.21.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%94%81%
1.556%38%69%31%
2.531%13%31%25%
3.56%0%6%13%
4.50%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
Wins52
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-33-11-5
Biggest losses1-33-02-35-1
Goals For4335
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.64 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 2.07 (league 1.65), Al-Rayyan SC = 1.68 (league 1.57)

Al-Rayyan SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.5% 5.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 30.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1