Stars League — Qatar
Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 18:30 • Qatar SC Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.62) 1.40 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.1% 23.8% 32.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qatar SC 0 4.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.8% 10.9% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQatar SCAl-Gharafa
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack65%30%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qatar SC Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins50%38%44%78%50%65%
Draws25%13%19%0%13%6%
Loses25%50%38%22%38%29%

Form: Qatar SC: WWWDWDWLLLLLLWDW • Al-Gharafa: WWLWDWWWWWLWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Qatar SC Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
GF total141327181129
GF avg1.81.61.72.01.41.7
GA total131326111223
GA avg1.61.61.61.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQatar SCAl-Gharafa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%81%71%82%
1.550%44%59%41%
2.525%25%35%12%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQatar SCAl-Gharafa
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score022145

Penalties

MetricQatar SCAl-Gharafa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricQatar SCAl-Gharafa
Wins35
Draws11
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-21-3
Biggest losses1-52-11-33-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricQatar SCAl-Gharafa
Form54%46%
Att68%32%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Gharafa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.65 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qatar SC = 1.66 (league 1.62), Al-Gharafa = 1.40 (league 1.60)

Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qatar SC 0 4.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.8% 10.9% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 32.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1