Stars League
— Qatar
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 18:30 •
Thani bin Jassim Stadium
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.62)
0.83 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5% | 18.4% | 12.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Ahli Doha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Gharafa | 0 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 0% |
| Attack | 29% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 78% | 44% | 61% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 22% | 44% | 33% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
Form: Al-Gharafa: WWLWDWWWWWLWWLLLWL • Al Ahli Doha: LLLWLWLWLWLWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 11 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 14 | 25 | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 59% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | 35% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 11% | 18% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 58.4% | 41.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 2.22 (league 1.62), Al Ahli Doha = 0.83 (league 1.60)
| Al Ahli Doha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Gharafa | 0 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 12.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1