Stars League — Qatar
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 18:30 • Thani bin Jassim Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.62) 2.88 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 16.9% 53.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.0%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Qatar SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
UMM Salal 0 0.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.8% 2.7% 1.6%
1 1.7% 4.8% 7.0% 6.7% 4.8% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.5%
3 0.9% 2.6% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6% 1.5%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUMM SalalQatar SC
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack60%65%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UMM Salal Qatar SC
HATHAT
Played99189817
Wins33%33%33%56%38%47%
Draws11%0%6%22%13%18%
Loses56%67%61%22%50%35%

Form: UMM Salal: LWLLWLLLLLWLLLWWDW • Qatar SC: WWWDWDWLLLLLLWDWW

League goals

Metric UMM Salal Qatar SC
HATHAT
GF total161834161329
GF avg1.82.01.91.81.61.7
GA total262147131326
GA avg2.92.32.61.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUMM SalalQatar SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%83%88%76%
1.572%72%53%41%
2.517%50%24%24%
3.56%28%6%6%
4.56%11%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUMM SalalQatar SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123404
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricUMM SalalQatar SC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricUMM SalalQatar SC
Wins23
Draws11
Losses56

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-52-01-3
Biggest losses3-83-01-52-1
Goals For3534
Goals Against8453

Model comparison

MetricUMM SalalQatar SC
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h25%75%
Goals35%65%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Qatar SC and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ BetVictor
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UMM Salal = 1.78 (league 1.62), Qatar SC = 2.88 (league 1.61)

Qatar SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
UMM Salal 0 0.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.8% 2.7% 1.6%
1 1.7% 4.8% 7.0% 6.7% 4.8% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.5%
3 0.9% 2.6% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6% 1.5%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 53.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1