Stars League — Qatar
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 15:30 • Al Bayt Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.63) 1.60 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 18.5% 23.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
6.9%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
UMM Salal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shamal 0 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.0% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
2 5.1% 8.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 6.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl ShamalUMM Salal
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack31%63%
Defense75%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Shamal UMM Salal
HATHAT
Played991810919
Wins44%67%56%30%33%32%
Draws33%11%22%20%0%11%
Loses22%22%22%50%67%58%

Form: Al Shamal: WWWWDDLWDWLLWDWWWL • UMM Salal: LWLLWLLLLLWLLLWWDWD

League goals

Metric Al Shamal UMM Salal
HATHAT
GF total161531161834
GF avg1.81.71.71.62.01.8
GA total12921262147
GA avg1.31.01.22.62.32.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl ShamalUMM Salal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%84%79%
1.550%39%68%68%
2.522%17%16%47%
3.517%6%5%26%
4.56%0%5%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl ShamalUMM Salal
HATHAT
Clean sheets448224
Failed to score314213

Penalties

MetricAl ShamalUMM Salal
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAl ShamalUMM Salal
Wins42
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-52-02-5
Biggest losses0-34-23-83-0
Goals For4535
Goals Against3484

Model comparison

MetricAl ShamalUMM Salal
Form48%52%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals72%28%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Al Shamal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away4.60 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Shamal = 2.53 (league 1.63), UMM Salal = 1.60 (league 1.62)

UMM Salal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shamal 0 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.0% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
2 5.1% 8.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 6.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 23.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1