Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.45) 0.74 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.8% 26.3% 18.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.8% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernanaPotenza
Played34
Form100%100%
Attack47%53%
Defense88%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.79 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana Potenza
HATHAT
Played303314
Wins100%—100%100%100%100%
Draws0%—0%0%0%0%
Loses0%—0%0%0%0%

Form: Ternana: WWW • Potenza: WWWW

League goals

Metric Ternana Potenza
HATHAT
GF total808819
GF avg2.70.02.72.71.02.3
GA total202303
GA avg0.70.00.71.00.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernanaPotenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%50%
1.567%0%50%25%
2.567%0%50%0%
3.533%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernanaPotenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricTernanaPotenza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricTernanaPotenza
Wins34
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—4-20-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For4041
Goals Against1020

Model comparison

MetricTernanaPotenza
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ternana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Dafabet
Away4.80 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana = 1.49 (league 1.45), Potenza = 0.74 (league 0.95)

Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.8% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.8% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 18.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1