Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 00:30 • Neo Química Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.02) 0.91 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 34.5% 37.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 19.3% 17.5% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack62%69%
Defense85%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Played4484610
Wins75%100%88%50%50%50%
Draws25%0%13%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Corinthians: WWWWWWWD • Vasco DA Gama: WWDDDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Corinthians Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
GF total651171017
GF avg1.51.31.41.81.71.7
GA total202437
GA avg0.50.00.31.00.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%13%90%70%
1.538%13%50%0%
2.50%0%30%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Clean sheets347033
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%9 | 81.82%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 18.18%
Total011

Streaks

MetricCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
Wins72
Draws03
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2233
Goals Against2011

Model comparison

MetricCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
Form54%46%
Att47%53%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h80%20%
Goals65%35%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Corinthians or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away5.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 0.74 (league 1.02), Vasco DA Gama = 0.91 (league 0.93)

Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 19.3% 17.5% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 37.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1