Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 21:00 • Estádio do Maracanã
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.02) 1.39 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 27.2% 63.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.3%
0 - 0
17.5%
0 - 2
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 17.5% 24.3% 16.9% 7.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 6.2% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack60%60%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vasco DA Gama Corinthians
HATHAT
Played4711549
Wins50%43%45%60%100%78%
Draws50%57%55%40%0%22%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Vasco DA Gama: WWDDDWDWWDD • Corinthians: WWWWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Vasco DA Gama Corinthians
HATHAT
GF total710176511
GF avg1.81.41.51.21.31.2
GA total437202
GA avg1.00.40.60.40.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVasco DA GamaCorinthians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%89%11%
1.545%0%33%11%
2.527%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
HATHAT
Clean sheets044448
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Scored (total | %)9 | 81.82%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)2 | 18.18%0 | 0%
Total110

Streaks

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Wins27
Draws30
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For3322
Goals Against1120

Model comparison

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total38.6%61.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Corinthians and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Betano
Draw3.00 @ Betano
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.85 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.72 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vasco DA Gama = 0.35 (league 1.02), Corinthians = 1.39 (league 0.93)

Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 17.5% 24.3% 16.9% 7.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 6.2% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 63.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1