DBU Pokalen — Denmark
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:00 • MCH Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.26 (league 1.38) 0.18 (league 2.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.5% 5.3% 0.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Aarhus
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.1% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack100%50%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Midtjylland Aarhus
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%67%50%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%33%50%40%

Form: FC Midtjylland: WWWLW • Aarhus: WWLWL

League goals

Metric FC Midtjylland Aarhus
HATHAT
GF total9514527
GF avg4.51.72.81.71.01.4
GA total123325
GA avg0.50.70.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC MidtjyllandAarhus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%60%100%
1.560%20%60%0%
2.560%0%20%0%
3.540%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Wins32
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-33-11-2
Biggest losses—2-10-11-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total70.7%29.5%

Advice: Winner : FC Midtjylland

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ SBO
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Midtjylland = 3.26 (league 1.38), Aarhus = 0.18 (league 2.81)

Aarhus
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.1% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.5% · Draw 5.3% · Away win 0.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1