Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Leon
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.55) 1.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.7% 21.5% 61.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 6.3% 12.2% 11.7% 7.5% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.2% 4.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeonCruz Azul
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack20%70%
Defense10%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played9817111021
Wins22%13%18%64%40%52%
Draws33%13%24%27%50%38%
Loses44%75%59%9%10%10%

Form: Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLL • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWLDWDD

League goals

Metric Leon Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total12214231437
GF avg1.30.30.82.11.41.8
GA total141731141024
GA avg1.62.11.81.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeonCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%76%86%71%
1.518%59%57%33%
2.56%24%29%10%
3.50%18%5%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeonCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score167123

Penalties

MetricLeonCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricLeonCruz Azul
Wins17
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-10-3
Biggest losses2-45-02-32-0
Goals For3143
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricLeonCruz Azul
Form14%86%
Att22%78%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%100%
Goals32%68%
Total28.4%71.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away1.88 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon = 0.84 (league 1.55), Cruz Azul = 1.92 (league 1.17)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 6.3% 12.2% 11.7% 7.5% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.2% 4.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 61.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1