Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio TSM Corona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.54) 1.32 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 15.4% 14.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna 0 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.2% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
5 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantos LagunaNecaxa
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack90%100%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Laguna Necaxa
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins67%0%35%38%11%24%
Draws0%25%12%38%22%29%
Loses33%75%53%25%67%47%

Form: Santos Laguna: WLLWLLLDLWLLWDWLW • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Santos Laguna Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total14822111324
GF avg1.61.01.31.41.41.4
GA total10182872532
GA avg1.12.31.60.92.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantos LagunaNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%76%94%
1.541%47%29%41%
2.512%29%24%41%
3.50%18%12%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantos LagunaNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets505101
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricSantos LagunaNecaxa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSantos LagunaNecaxa
Wins12
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-13-4
Biggest losses1-44-10-13-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against4415

Model comparison

MetricSantos LagunaNecaxa
Form56%44%
Att41%59%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Necaxa and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away1.98 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.49 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos Laguna = 2.91 (league 1.54), Necaxa = 1.32 (league 1.16)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna 0 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.2% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
5 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 14.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1