Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.55) 1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 21.0% 22.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxaMonterrey
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack100%46%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa Monterrey
HATHAT
Played81018111122
Wins38%20%28%64%36%50%
Draws38%20%28%27%9%18%
Loses25%60%44%9%55%32%

Form: Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDW • Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDLWDDWLDLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Necaxa Monterrey
HATHAT
GF total111627211839
GF avg1.41.61.51.91.61.8
GA total72633102535
GA avg0.92.61.80.92.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxaMonterrey
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%94%86%73%
1.533%39%55%50%
2.528%39%27%18%
3.511%6%9%9%
4.50%6%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxaMonterrey
HATHAT
Clean sheets101426
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricNecaxaMonterrey
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricNecaxaMonterrey
Wins27
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-02-4
Biggest losses0-13-00-16-2
Goals For4444
Goals Against1526

Model comparison

MetricNecaxaMonterrey
Form65%35%
Att68%32%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%87%
Total50.6%49.4%

Advice: Double chance : Necaxa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa = 2.08 (league 1.55), Monterrey = 1.23 (league 1.17)

Monterrey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 22.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1