Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 01:06 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.55) 0.28 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.0% 24.9% 6.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.3%
2 - 0
18.9%
0 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 16.9% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachucaLeon
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack36%36%
Defense36%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca Leon
HATHAT
Played9112010818
Wins44%27%35%30%13%22%
Draws0%36%20%30%13%22%
Loses56%36%45%40%75%56%

Form: Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLDLLWLL • Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Pachuca Leon
HATHAT
GF total10152514216
GF avg1.11.41.31.40.30.9
GA total101626151732
GA avg1.11.51.31.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachucaLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%80%61%78%
1.540%50%22%56%
2.520%0%6%22%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachucaLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score437167

Penalties

MetricPachucaLeon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPachucaLeon
Wins41
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-02-45-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against2245

Model comparison

MetricPachucaLeon
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away4.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca = 1.49 (league 1.55), Leon = 0.28 (league 1.17)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 16.9% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.0% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 6.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1