Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 03:10 • Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.55) 1.67 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 23.9% 45.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 5.0% 8.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.6% 11.1% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack46%69%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Juarez Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Played11112211920
Wins45%27%36%55%44%50%
Draws27%27%27%18%11%15%
Loses27%45%36%27%44%35%

Form: FC Juarez: DLDLWWWDLWWLDLDWLLWLDW • Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWLWWWDLW

League goals

Metric FC Juarez Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
GF total191433211233
GF avg1.71.31.51.91.31.7
GA total161935141125
GA avg1.51.71.61.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%70%70%
1.550%41%55%35%
2.59%23%25%20%
3.55%9%15%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricFC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricFC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
Wins34
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-33-2
Goals For4243
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricFC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.78 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Juarez = 1.32 (league 1.55), Guadalajara Chivas = 1.67 (league 1.17)

Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Juarez 0 5.0% 8.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.6% 11.1% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 45.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1