Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio La Corregidora
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.54) 1.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 20.4% 22.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Club Tijuana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Queretaro 0 3.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.5% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 9.4% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub QueretaroClub Tijuana
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack50%67%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Queretaro Club Tijuana
HATHAT
Played8101812921
Wins50%20%33%58%11%38%
Draws13%20%17%42%22%33%
Loses38%60%50%0%67%29%

Form: Club Queretaro: LLLLDWLLWDLWLWLWWD • Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWDWLWDLDLLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Club Queretaro Club Tijuana
HATHAT
GF total11920251035
GF avg1.40.91.12.11.11.7
GA total11193072229
GA avg1.41.91.70.62.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub QueretaroClub Tijuana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%83%76%57%
1.533%50%52%38%
2.517%28%29%24%
3.50%6%5%14%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub QueretaroClub Tijuana
HATHAT
Clean sheets213819
Failed to score347235

Penalties

MetricClub QueretaroClub Tijuana
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricClub QueretaroClub Tijuana
Wins23
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-0—5-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricClub QueretaroClub Tijuana
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Club Tijuana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Queretaro = 2.18 (league 1.54), Club Tijuana = 1.34 (league 1.15)

Club Tijuana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Queretaro 0 3.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.5% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 9.4% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1