Liga MX — Mexico
Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 01:06 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.54) 1.32 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 27.3% 41.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Club America
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 9.0% 11.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.3% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachucaClub America
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack67%22%
Defense22%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca Club America
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins50%27%38%80%27%52%
Draws0%36%19%0%45%24%
Loses50%36%43%20%27%24%

Form: Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLDLLWLLW • Club America: DWDWWWWLDWWWLWDWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Pachuca Club America
HATHAT
GF total121527201535
GF avg1.21.41.32.01.41.7
GA total11162781523
GA avg1.11.51.30.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachucaClub America
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%81%81%71%
1.543%48%52%38%
2.519%0%24%0%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachucaClub America
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score437134

Penalties

MetricPachucaClub America
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPachucaClub America
Wins44
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricPachucaClub America
Form60%40%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Pachuca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca = 1.09 (league 1.54), Club America = 1.32 (league 1.16)

Club America
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 9.0% 11.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.3% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 41.7%

vtt 5 , vtd1