Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.01)
0.66 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | 29.9% | 19.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Estudiantes L.P. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnasia L.P. | 0 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 36% |
| Defense | 45% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Gimnasia L.P.WLWL
Estudiantes L.P.DWDW
League goals
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.75 @ Bet365
Draw2.93 @ 188Bet
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.44 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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