Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 22:15 •
Jose Amalfitani
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.00)
0.40 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.6% | 46.3% | 20.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
37.0%
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| River Plate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 36.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 78% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
Velez SarsfieldWWDWD
River PlateWWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…