Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 01:00 •
VÃctor Legrotaglie
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.00)
1.21 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 31.0% | 56.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.5%
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 2
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnasia M. | 0 | 20.3% | 24.5% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 22% | 78% |
| Defense | 11% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Independiente | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Gimnasia M.WLLWLL
IndependienteDDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Independiente | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gimnasia M. | Independiente | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Independiente | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 28.6% | 71.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.29 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.56 @ Pinnacle
No1.61 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…