Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 22:45 •
Libertadores de America
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.00)
1.00 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.0% | 21.7% | 18.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
10.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Santa Fe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente | 0 | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 62% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
IndependienteDDDWWLDW
Union Santa FeDLWLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Independiente | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente | Union Santa Fe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 63% | 63% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.88 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…