Mon, Mar 23 2026 • 01:15 •
Estadio Bautista Gargantini
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.01)
2.41 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 17.0% | 67.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Rosario Central | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independ. Rivadavia | 0 | 3.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 75% | 50% |
| Defense | 33% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 75% | 60% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Draws | 17% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
Independ. RivadaviaWWWWLWDDLW
Rosario CentralLWDDWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 90% | 70% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 30% | 50% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 34.2% | 65.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away2.95 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ 888Sport
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League standings
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