Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 18:30 •
Jose Amalfitani
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.00)
0.93 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.2% | 22.8% | 18.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lanus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 45% | 64% |
| Defense | 91% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 40% | 25% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 22% |
Velez SarsfieldWWDWDWDWDW
LanusWWDDLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 50% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 0% | 44% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away3.80 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.90 @ BetVictor
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…