Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:00 •
VÃctor Legrotaglie
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.00)
1.59 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | 23.2% | 69.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.0%
0 - 2
19.1%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Velez Sarsfield | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnasia M. | 0 | 15.0% | 24.0% | 19.1% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 30% | 40% |
| Defense | 50% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 17% | 18% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 20% | 50% | 36% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 20% | 0% | 9% |
Gimnasia M.WLLWLLDDDLL
Velez SarsfieldWWDWDWDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 73% | 82% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 27% | 27% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gimnasia M. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 16% | 84% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 28.8% | 71.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ BetVictor
Away2.34 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.42 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.35 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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