Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 20:30 •
Libertadores de America
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.01)
2.24 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 20.2% | 49.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Club | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente | 0 | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 82% | 73% |
| Defense | 18% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente | Racing Club | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 27% | 50% | 43% | 45% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 45% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Loses | 17% | 40% | 27% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
IndependienteDDDWWLDWDLL
Racing ClubLLLWWDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Independiente | Racing Club | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente | Racing Club | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 73% | 82% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 45% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente | Racing Club | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.08 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ BetVictor
No1.73 @ William Hill
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League standings
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