Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 00:15 • Estadio Jorge Gonzalez
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.20) 1.28 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 27.1% 38.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 8.4% 10.7% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFirpoAlianza
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack100%85%
Defense46%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Firpo Alianza
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins69%69%69%54%69%62%
Draws15%23%19%23%23%23%
Loses15%8%12%23%8%15%

Form: Firpo: WWDWWWDLWWWDWLDWWWWWWDWWWL • Alianza: DWDDLWWWWWWWWWWLLDLWDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Firpo Alianza
HATHAT
GF total243660202545
GF avg1.82.82.31.51.91.7
GA total111930111021
GA avg0.81.51.20.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFirpoAlianza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%69%77%62%
1.569%27%54%15%
2.554%12%27%4%
3.512%4%8%0%
4.54%4%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFirpoAlianza
HATHAT
Clean sheets7185510
Failed to score303426

Penalties

MetricFirpoAlianza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFirpoAlianza
Wins610
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-43-00-5
Biggest losses0-52-10-21-0
Goals For6435
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricFirpoAlianza
Form43%57%
Att56%44%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away3.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Firpo = 1.20 (league 1.20), Alianza = 1.28 (league 1.19)

Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 8.4% 10.7% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 38.2%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1