Thu, Feb 12 2026 • 22:00 •
Arena da Baixada
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.36)
0.05 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 86.1% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.7%
3 - 0
21.3%
4 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Paranaense | 0 | 5.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 21.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 17% |
| Attack | 5% | 16% |
| Defense | 100% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Atletico ParanaenseW
SantosLD
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Paranaense | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.17 @ SBO
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…