Wed, Feb 11 2026 • 22:00 •
Arena Condá
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.36)
4.64 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 11.5% | 35.9% |
best score tips
2 - 4
4.2%
3 - 4
4.2%
2 - 5
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Coritiba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chapecoense-sc | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 50% |
| Attack | 31% | 13% |
| Defense | 81% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 2.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
90%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Chapecoense-scWD
CoritibaLW
League goals
| Metric | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chapecoense-sc | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.13 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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