Thu, Feb 12 2026 • 00:30 •
Estádio São Januário
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.36)
2.31 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | 17.0% | 69.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.7%
0 - 1
10.9%
0 - 3
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 4.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 67% |
| Attack | 9% | 14% |
| Defense | 86% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
90%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Vasco DA GamaLD
BahiaWD
League goals
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 38.2% | 61.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away3.30 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…