Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 21:00 •
Arena Fonte Nova
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.36)
1.16 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.3% | 30.8% | 45.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Chapecoense-sc | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bahia | 0 | 15.0% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 56% |
| Attack | 36% | 73% |
| Defense | 82% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 8 | 2.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
BahiaWDW
Chapecoense-scWDD
League goals
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bahia | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw4.15 @ Betano
Away7.30 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.03 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ Betano
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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