Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 22:30 •
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.36)
1.16 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.3% | 27.5% | 33.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.2%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sao Paulo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coritiba | 0 | 9.0% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Coritiba | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 78% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 55% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Coritiba | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
CoritibaLWD
Sao PauloWDW
League goals
| Metric | Coritiba | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Coritiba | Sao Paulo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Coritiba | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Coritiba | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Coritiba | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Coritiba | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 35.6% | 64.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.75 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…