Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 00:30 •
Arena Barueri
Expected Goals
3.71 (league 1.35)
1.16 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
7.0%
3 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Fluminense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras | 0 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 78% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 3.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
PalmeirasDWW
FluminenseWDW
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away5.59 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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