Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 19:00 •
Estádio do Maracanã
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.36)
0.58 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5% | 43.4% | 29.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.2%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Paranaense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 32.2% | 18.7% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 58% |
| Attack | 58% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
FluminenseWDWLW
Atletico ParanaenseWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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