Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 22:30 •
Arena da Baixada
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.35)
0.81 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5% | 20.5% | 14.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
12.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cruzeiro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Paranaense | 0 | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Atletico ParanaenseWWLDL
CruzeiroLLDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 33% | 83% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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