Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 22:00 •
Arena do Grêmio
Expected Goals
5.97 (league 1.36)
1.97 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
best score tips
5 - 1
4.4%
5 - 2
4.4%
4 - 1
3.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitoria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gremio | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gremio | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 69% | 54% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
89%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gremio | Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
GremioLWLWDD
VitoriaWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Gremio | Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gremio | Vitoria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 100% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gremio | Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gremio | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gremio | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gremio | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.90 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away4.69 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Bet365
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League standings
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