Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 22:00 •
Allianz Parque
Expected Goals
6.00 (league 1.35)
1.22 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.8%
4 - 1
4.8%
5 - 0
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Botafogo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 80% | 25% |
| Attack | 92% | 54% |
| Defense | 62% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
PalmeirasDWWWLW
BotafogoWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras | Botafogo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 83% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.56 @ 188Bet
Draw4.37 @ 1xBet
Away7.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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