Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 00:00 • MorumBIS
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.36) 0.70 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 14.9% 8.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
3 - 0
10.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 4.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 8.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao PauloPalmeiras
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack78%100%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Paulo Palmeiras
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%50%71%100%33%71%
Draws0%25%14%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%14%0%33%14%
Sao PauloWDWWWWL
PalmeirasDWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Sao Paulo Palmeiras
HATHAT
GF total641010616
GF avg2.01.01.42.52.02.3
GA total134358
GA avg0.30.80.60.81.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao PauloPalmeiras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%100%86%
1.557%0%71%29%
2.50%0%29%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao PauloPalmeiras
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricSao PauloPalmeiras
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSao PauloPalmeiras
Wins43
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-25-11-3
Biggest losses—1-0—2-1
Goals For2253
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricSao PauloPalmeiras
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total54.6%45.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ BetVictor
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Betano
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League standings

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