Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 19:00 •
Estádio São Januário
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.35)
1.06 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.5% | 22.3% | 20.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gremio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 29% | 75% | 0% | 43% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 67% | 43% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
Vasco DA GamaLDLLWDW
GremioLWLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 100% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 5-3 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.94 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ BetVictor
Away4.63 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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